NFL Week 12 Results: XGBoost's Revenge Tour & The Perfect Consensus
Breaking down how our ensemble model went 10-4, XGBoost surged to 85.7%, and every single consensus pick hit. Plus: the four upsets that kept things interesting.
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Breaking down how our ensemble model went 10-4, XGBoost surged to 85.7%, and every single consensus pick hit. Plus: the four upsets that kept things interesting.
The models face-planted on game prediction (50% accuracy) and barely stayed above .500 on spreads (57.1% ATS). Also: Chicago and Cincinnati decided gravity was optional.
The models promised consensus. Week 8 delivered carnage. Five high-confidence predictions failed, XGBoost emerged as the lone survivor, and the season's most divisive game taught us a brutal lesson about overconfidence.
Week 7 delivered a masterclass in the power of consensus—and a humbling reminder that even 87% confidence can't predict Thursday Night Football chaos.