NFL Week 3: Bayesian Is Back. The Confidence Test Continues
Three models contribute again, six favorites exceed 90%, and three ensemble picks follow a single model. The complete September 22 Week 3 forecast.
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NFL Week 2: Eleven Picks Above 90%. Five Winners
The original Week 2 ensemble went 8–8. Its eleven 90%-plus favorites went 5–6, and sharpening again made the probability scores worse.
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Giants at Rams: New York Gets 92.3%. Elo Takes the Other Side
The corrected forecast picks the Giants at 92.3%, up from a 73.0% raw blend. Bayesian is back, Elo favors the Rams, and both versions stay in the record.
About Cresencio
"Every man has his own world."
He dwells in the midst of his little universe as the lord and ruler of the constituent parts of himself. Sometimes he is a wise king, devoting his life to the needs of his subjects, but more often he is a tyrant, imposing many forms of injustice upon his vassals.
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I do stuff on the internet. I like coding and building things that I can share with others.