NFL Week 4: Eleven Winners, but Confidence Still Matters
The original Week 4 forecast went 11-5; the research version went 10-6. A complete look at the winners, confidence penalties, spreads and totals.
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Falcons at Saints: New Orleans Is the Pick, Not a Lock
Both frozen Week 4 forecasts pick New Orleans on Monday night, but 67.6% in the original and 53.0% in the rebuild describe very different levels of confidence.
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Lions at Panthers: Detroit Is the Pick, but the Models Are Split
Detroit is 57.6% in the original Week 4 forecast and 53.2% in the rebuild, but the component models and separate point forecasts make Sunday night far less settled.
About Cresencio
"Every man has his own world."
He dwells in the midst of his little universe as the lord and ruler of the constituent parts of himself. Sometimes he is a wise king, devoting his life to the needs of his subjects, but more often he is a tyrant, imposing many forms of injustice upon his vassals.
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I do stuff on the internet. I like coding and building things that I can share with others.