The 49ers Won 27–7. My 93.6% Rams Pick Was Wrong
San Francisco beat Los Angeles 27–7 after my final forecast gave the 49ers just 6.4%. Grading the miss, the cost of extra confidence, and the first two games of the record.
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49ers vs. Rams: Three Models Pick Los Angeles. None Says 94%
The Rams get 93.6% in the saved Week 1 forecast. The raw blend is 74.5%. A Melbourne preview about model agreement, amplified confidence, and how to grade either result.
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Seattle Won 13–10. The Confidence Question Is Still Open
All three models picked Seattle, and Seattle won 13–10. Grading the frozen forecast shows what went right—and why one result cannot validate its confidence.
About Cresencio
"Every man has his own world."
He dwells in the midst of his little universe as the lord and ruler of the constituent parts of himself. Sometimes he is a wise king, devoting his life to the needs of his subjects, but more often he is a tyrant, imposing many forms of injustice upon his vassals.
WHO_IS
CRESENCIO?
I do stuff on the internet. I like coding and building things that I can share with others.